AS of today, COVID19 stats:
5,229 deaths globally today, with a tracked total of just under 75,000 deaths.
As rude as it may seem, I must ask, how does this compare to past pandemics? And is this chaos, economic shutdown, hoarding, job loss, disruption to normal life worth it? It seems like a fair question to ask. Here are your answers.
The Short Version:
|Spanish Flu||Swine Flu||COVID19|
|Worldwide||50+ million deaths||575k deaths||75k deaths (AOT)|
|USA||675k deaths||12.5k deaths||11k deaths (AOT)|
Your answer is as follows. It’s about the same as the last, and nowhere near the worst. The biggest difference, the older generations did not have a stored immunity to this one as they seemed to have for swine flu making it a bit more lethal for those over 60.
Although people can say that social distancing really flattened the curve of projected deaths, we are finding out that the initial estimates of the deaths counts were grossly wrong due to bad data input, using unreliable data, worst-case scenario data, and a lot of top-down estimations (never ever used in business, because we know it’s fantasy land). Source: https://www.abc15.com/news/data/covid-19-by-the-numbers-what-does-the-data-really-say-about-arizona
Quick Stats for previous pandemics (reference is CDC – with links provided):
For the most recent pandemic, the Swine Flu (April 2009 – April 2010)
“From April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010, CDC estimated there were 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304 hospitalizations (range: 195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths (range: 8868-18,306) in the United States due to the (H1N1)pdm09 virus… Additionally, CDC estimated that 151,700-575,400 people worldwide died from (H1N1)pdm09 virus infection during the first year the virus circulated.** Globally, 80 percent of (H1N1)pdm09 virus-related deaths were estimated to have occurred in people younger than 65 years of age. This differs greatly from typical seasonal influenza epidemics, during which about 70 percent to 90 percent of deaths are estimated to occur in people 65 years and older.” Source: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html
For the worst recent pandemic, the Spanish Flu (1918)
The 1918 influenza pandemic was the most severe pandemic in recent history. It was caused by an H1N1 virus with genes of avian origin. Although there is not universal consensus regarding where the virus originated, it spread worldwide during 1918-1919. In the United States, it was first identified in military personnel in spring 1918. It is estimated that about 500 million people or one-third of the world’s population became infected with this virus. The number of deaths was estimated to be at least 50 million worldwide with about 675,000 occurring in the United States. Source: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/1918-pandemic-h1n1.html